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Monthly Archives: September 2014

My Prediction for the Scottish Independence Vote

September 18, 2014by karlstrobl 3 Comments

Another little game theory for you: People behave differently in polls than in actual elections. Polls have only signalling value, while votes have a definite outcome. When you vote you have […]

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Current affairs

The Trouble with Big Data

September 14, 2014by karlstrobl 1 Comment

Part 1: Why Big Data can spell Big Trouble   Confusing significant-looking results with meaningful results in statistics, and how this gets worse in the age of Big Data is […]

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Current affairs, Finance

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karlstrobl

co-founder and co-owner of a humanitarian demining organisation, lecturer in finance and applied maths. former investment manager, trader; and once a particle physicist; cares about retirement systems, demographics, govt debt, sustainability, life linkedin.com/in/karlstrobl

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