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Monthly Archives: September 2020

Epidemics: The R Factor and Public Policy Choices

September 27, 2020by karlstrobl 1 Comment

In my last post, I kind of assumed knowledge of how the R factor works and what it is. If you already know, you can skip this post. But I […]

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COVID: Stop Arguing About the Physics; The Maths Has It

September 25, 2020by karlstrobl Leave a comment

COVID related social restrictions aren’t there to protect you today. They won’t move the dial much on that point. They are there to protect us all in the medium term. This article explains the mathematics of why we need these measures even if the personal COVID risks are already at a risk level that’s “acceptable” without them.

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New Stuff

  • Epidemics: The R Factor and Public Policy Choices September 27, 2020
  • COVID: Stop Arguing About the Physics; The Maths Has It September 25, 2020
  • Standard Operating Procedures for Dictators (*), First Edition September 29, 2019
  • Doubt Kills More Dreams Than Failure; Thank God For That! February 6, 2018

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  • When you are faced with fragility (negative convexity), the optimal cure makes sure the cure remains worse than the… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 1 month ago
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karlstrobl

co-founder and co-owner of a humanitarian demining organisation, lecturer in finance and applied maths. former investment manager, trader; and once a particle physicist; cares about retirement systems, demographics, govt debt, sustainability, life linkedin.com/in/karlstrobl

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